Make 15 times your risk on the 2b pattern - 雙語字幕
Good evening, it's QuantTrade Edge and today I wanted to focus on the 2B pattern.
This is a pattern that was popularized by Trader Vic, it's Victor It's a very simple pattern for the 2B cell.
Well, they're both basically variations of a double top, except one really important factor
is that you want the initial high exceeded, and when the bar that exceeded it gets taken out, that's your trigger to enter the trigger.
trade.
And what I like about this is it's very mechanical.
You have to think your stop is above the high of the move and your entry is at the bottom of the candle that
broke the previous high.
On the buy it's the same thing.
You want the first low exceeded and you enter when you enter.
the high of the bar that broke that first low.
If you want to read up more on this,
I recommend to going to the past That is a sight, I believe, maintained or with the work of Bolkowski on it.
And when you look at here, you know, it's showing you the same thing on the 2B top and the 2B bottom.
You know, here's an example where this bar took out that height.
when you take out that low, that's when you enter.
And he does research to say, you know, how much, you know, from the top, how much the market falls.
And, you know, and he does prove that it falls more when you get this pattern with the second peak above the first peak peak.
than if it were to be the other way around.
So that's interesting to know.
And important about this, I is it gives you a framework to think about it.
So if you want to track your own statistics,
applying this pattern to a particular market or a different time frame, it gives you a framework to do that.
So let's move into some real world examples.
On the NASDAQ,
this is NASDAQ futures,
and I had called this out to a friend of mine a few days ago when this happened,
but basically when we took out this set of lows, I'm sorry, it right here, we took out this swing low on March 10th.
dipped a little lower, and the day after when we broke above this, that would have been our entry.
So drawing our rectangles here, you know, and this is on a daily time.
But drawing our rectangles, you have a high of, call it 250, 250, 12, 250 to 11, 800.
So it's about 450 points, and just visually, it looks like we've already hit 900 points from here.
We're this high.
12, 250, 900 points would put you at 150, 13,
150, 13, 300, yes, so 13, 150 is already two times that 13, 150, which see, would have been hit early today.
Some more in here is two times and it's still going.
And if you want to read the tape by following this market day after day, you'll notice something else, and that is this here.
Let's see where it was at.
this old high of 13068, and this high was 13082.
So this is technically a 2B pattern against here, you know, granted it's a little bit far apart.
And Bolkowski does talk about the distance between the highs and the lows and what's optimal.
And I think it was something like 10 bars is optimal.
So this is very far,
but what's interesting is this would have triggered a short right here except that it rebounded and went up right away.
So the fact that it's failing over here, is a sign of even more strength in that market.
And in terms of daily markets, I'm trying to think of if I had seen this somewhere else, I think it was in gold.
Is that right?
No, here's a bottom where we had a higher low.
Okay, so on the gold market, this previous high
When we were doing our 4X trades on this triangle consolidation that's building,
one of the things that would have been a sign that we were wrong would have been if this logo got taken out.
That low would trigger a 2B, and I didn't think that was happening.
I what we have here is basically a cup and a handle of sorts that will lead to much higher gold prices.
But I wanted to also show you that on a lower time frame,
you can get risk to reward multiples for 6X and they happen daily.
And today just happened to be a day that I was noticing them.
This pattern was on my mind, and I kept noticing them.
But basically you had this low, this is crude oil, and at 12.45 yesterday we had this low at 73.81.
And this one bar ticked below it.
This bar did not, this low is 82, this low is 77, this low is 82, this low is 83.
So this is the only bar that ticked below that previous low.
and that basically sets up your risk bar and the very next bar it triggered up
above it and the load did not get taken out so the size of this bar was 23.28 cents
and the eventual high was a dollar.
68.
Let's see, this is $0 So $1.67.
So $1.67 off of 28.
We're talking about at least 6x.
At least 6x up to here, right?
This is your risk.
this is your reward and that was a crude oil 15-minute chart natural gas
15-minute chart also had a pattern where you know this is kind of your overnight
low I'm sorry low from a closing bar on the previous pit 115 to 130 p.m.
Let me get this here.
So this low was 208 and this bar at 7 a.m.
broke below that low.
And let me get this going here.
The next bar was inside.
So this was just kind of an inside pattern.
And as soon as you took out the high of this bar at 2099 and your stop is 2074.
So about a two and a half cent stop on this.
And let's do what we always do.
draw a triangle and then 10 cents above this to 19.99 would be 4r and gosh I guess
that's two I guess that's there you go 4r you would have your 4R in basically 5,
10, 15 minutes, and it looks like this high...
It's about 5 and a half R, but if you just used a target of 4R, you're out in 15 minutes.
Silver was another one,
wasn't quite as good,
but the same sort of pattern here,
you had this 140pm dip yesterday, and the bar that made the low was this bar right here that broke below that low.
The size of this bar is exactly 10 cents.
This low is 83.
This low is 83 is an equal low So if this was your risk bar
You can imagine it was down here and it hit low first.
So your stop would have been a tick below that.
Didn't get triggered, then it reversed and got you in.
And then you had a hogi form.
These one, two, three bars sat inside of this bar.
And so basically a dime wide topping at 93.
13, 23, 33.
If we didn't get to 33, 33 would have been 4R.
So we got just shy of 4R.
So you know, it closed the day pretty close to the highs.
So you would be at 3R on the close.
There was also the same pattern in the S&P.
And again, looking at a 15-minute chart, here is the, let's see, was this it?
Yep, so by exactly one tick.
So opening, Glowback's open, it.
5 p.m.
yesterday had a low of 407.825 and this bar at 3.15 a.m.
had a low of 407.8 so it made a lower you know it ticked below that by one tick and
this would have been an amazing entry bar because this entry entry at 3 a.m.
was four points in size.
Granted, you have to be up at 3.15 in the morning watching that.
So, you know, four points, 408.2, all the way to 42.50.
That's 60 points.
60 points on a four point risk is 15R.
You know,
so a four-point stop is basically $200 per E-mini,
and if you risk a thousand bucks, five contracts, you would have turned that into $15,000.
over the course of the day.
So, you know, that is the power of the 2B pattern.
It fits in our toolbox of tools that we like to look at that set us up with asymmetry.
That means we have a low risk and a high return potential.
And 2B is just another one of the many tools we have to achieve that.
And you saw just today alone,
You could get multiples on a trade in the S&P, crude oil, natural gas, silver, whatever is you're watching.
These were all a 15 minute time frame.
If we were to drop to other time frames, five minute, 30 minute, you'd probably find similar setups.
And again, the general rule of thumb is the lower the time frame you go, the lower the wind.
rate, but the higher the multiples that you can get because you can find smaller risk bars.
So, you know, depending on the pace of the day, 15 minutes is a
good balance between having a high wind rate and having a good, you know, having good multiples on that.
So anyway, I hope you enjoyed that.
We've never really talked about the two B pattern before.
Maybe I might have mentioned it,
you know, as I just saw them ad hoc, but this is a little more comprehensive tutorial with examples on that pattern.
解鎖更多功能
安裝 Trancy 擴展，可以解鎖更多功能，包括AI字幕、AI單詞釋義、AI語法分析、AI口語等
兼容主流視頻平台
Trancy 不僅提供對 YouTube、Netflix、Udemy、Disney+、TED、edX、Kehan、Coursera 等平台的雙語字幕支持，還能實現對普通網頁的 AI 劃詞/劃句翻譯、全文沉浸翻譯等功能，真正的語言學習全能助手。
支持全平臺瀏覽器
Trancy 支持全平臺使用，包括iOS Safari瀏覽器擴展
多種觀影模式
支持劇場、閱讀、混合等多種觀影模式，全方位雙語體驗
多種練習模式
支持句子精聽、口語測評、選擇填空、默寫等多種練習方式
AI 視頻總結
使用 OpenAI 對視頻總結，快速視頻概要，掌握關鍵內容
AI 字幕
只需3-5分鐘，即可生成 YouTube AI 字幕，精準且快速
AI 單詞釋義
輕點字幕中的單詞，即可查詢釋義，並有AI釋義賦能
AI 語法分析
對句子進行語法分析，快速理解句子含義，掌握難點語法
更多網頁功能
Trancy 支持視頻雙語字幕同時，還可提供網頁的單詞翻譯和全文翻譯功能